Why do French fund
managers buy foreign stocks and ignore undervalued French companies ?
Fate has willed that two industrial
companies, one in Germany (Norma Group, NOEJ) and the other in France
(Montupet, MON) are presently quoted at the same price, about 42
euros.
Based in the Hesse Land, NOEJ is a
specialist of engineered joining technology solutions. It owns 19
factories, in Europe, North America and Asia. Its market cap is about
1.3 billion euros. 2013 consolidated sales were up 5% on 2012. EBITDA
was up 7%. Montupet is an industry leader in the manufacture of
complex cast aluminium components for the automotive industry. Its
market cap is about 470m euros. In 2013, sales were up 6% on a
constant structure basis. The group will report profit figures in
late March.
What is astonishing is that several
Paris-based portfolio managers (Amundi, Barclays, Oddo, etc) have
bought Norma shares, while ignoring the – huge – potential of the
French company.
A potential that has been obvious in
the last few months : the Montupet share price has done much
better than the Norma share price, with +33% since 1 January 2014
(+16% for Norma), and +140% in the last 6 months (+30% for Norma).
French portfolio managers have thus missed the enormous rise of a
Paris-quoted company. Why ?
First and foremost, because many
Paris-based fund managers are little interested in mid- and small
companies quoted in France (there are exceptions of course, such as
Talence Gestion and a few others). Mid- and small companies being now
fashionable, new funds have been set up, but have invested mainly in
non CAC 40 big caps (for example Areva, Faurecia, etc) or in foreign
stocks. Secundly, there is a lack of research about « real »
mid and smalls in Paris. Many brokers have limited themselves to
following the companies who have entrusted them with a liquidity
agreement. On the contrary, many German banks/brokers do write about
Norma Group : Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, DZ Bank, NordLB, Main
First, Warburg Research, Hauck & Aufhäuser, HSBC (whose German
subsidiary writes about Norma in Frankfurt but whose French
subsidiary doesn't follow Montupet in Paris...), Berenberg, etc
My own forecast (see the blog :
boursenow.blogspot.fr) is that the Montupet share price will go on
doing better. French fund managers had better change their ways and
grow more interested in Paris-quoted companies...
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